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Using a parametric portfolio optimization approach, I show how international momentum strategies can be significantly improved by decomposing global momentum returns. The parametrization models the optimal portfolio weights as a function of the decomposed components and overweights equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915065
We establish the out-of-sample predictability of monthly exchange rate changes via machine learning techniques based on 70 predictors capturing country characteristics, global variables, and their interactions. To guard against overfitting, we use the elastic net to estimate a high-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847704
We derive a closed-form expression for the mean and marginal hedging demand on risky assets in long-term asset allocation problems for individuals with CRRA preferences. Our parametric portfolio policy rule accommodates an arbitrarily large number of state variables for predicting the state of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849031
We study investor trading behaviour and yield patterns in the UK government bond market during the recent Covid crisis. We show that the yield spike in mid-March 2020 was accompanied by heavy selling of gilts by UK-based insurance companies and pension funds (ICPFs), which we argue was an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297986
Frequent, yet uninformed, fund flows in Chilean pension plans generate substantial trading in currency markets due to the high allocation to international securities. These non-fundamental flows have a significant impact on the Chilean peso, which is estimated to have a relatively low price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477245
We analyze a large number of industry- and company-level filings of global institutional investors to provide the first comprehensive estimates of foreign investors' U.S. dollar (USD) security holdings and currency hedging practices. We find that foreign investors increased their holdings of USD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350023
We explain the currency carry trade performance using an asset pricing model in which factor loadings are regime-dependent rather than constant. Empirical results show that a typical carry trade strategy has much higher exposure to the stock market and is mean-reverting in regimes of high FX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008858348
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312451
We studied how the capital allocation decisions and the loss version of nonprofessional investors change subject to … the past performance and the portfolio evaluation frequency affect investor behavior and prove myopic loss aversion holds … using standard VaR significance levels may be underestimating the loss aversion of individual investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116206