This note contains additional model derivation and numerical details of the main text Cheng,Dou, and Liao (2021). Section A derives the Euler equations that serve as the asset pricingmoment conditions in the disaster risk model and the long-run risk model. Section B considersthe long-run risk...

This paper considers forecast combination with factor-augmented regression. In this framework, a large number of forecasting models are available, varying by the choice of factors and the number of lags. We investigate forecast combination using weights that minimize the Mallows and the...

This paper introduces a new confidence interval (CI) for the autoregressive parameter (AR) in an AR(1) model that allows for conditional heteroskedasticity of a general form and AR parameters that are less than or equal to unity. The CI is a modification of Mikusheva's (2007a) modification of...

The least squares estimator for the linear regression model is shown to converge to the true parameter vector either with probability one or with probability zero. In the latter case, it either converges to a point not equal to the true parameter with probability one, or it diverges with...

An influential paper by Kleibergen (2005) introduces Lagrange multiplier (LM) and conditional likelihood ratio-like (CLR) tests for nonlinear moment condition models. These procedures aim to have good size performance even when the parameters are unidentified or poorly identified. However, the...