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Central banks in most advanced economies have reacted similarly to the increase in inflation that started in 2021. They … initially looked through the rising inflation by leaving monetary policy relatively unchanged. Then, after inflation continued … aiming to anchor drifting inflation expectations. Why might central banks want to look through supply-driven inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370504
inflation-targeting regime 19932002 with the policies implied by certain simple instrument rules. Calibrated rules that are … describe monetary policy about equally well. A close reading of various policy documents, e.g., Inflation Reports, minutes from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583820
Based on market expectations reported by the Central Bank of Brazil for the SELIC interest rate, the IPCA inflation … expectations about the IPCA inflation rate and the SELIC interest rate have a strong negative relationship with central bankers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865624
We theoretically explore long-run stagnation at the zero lower bound in a representative agent framework. We analytically compare expectations-driven stagnation to a secular stagnation episode and find contrasting policy implications for changes in government spending, supply shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012004630
monetary policy regime under uncertain inflation dynamics that alter the steady state properties of the underlying model as … well as the stochastic dependencies between model parameters and shocks. Since shifts in the inflation target are examples … persistence of inflation to the recent proposal of Blanchard et al. (2010) to raise the inflation target from its conventional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135623
target have played a major role in the Euro area business cycle. Following an inflation target shock, the real interest rate …The Euro area as a whole has experienced a marked downward trend in inflation over the past decades and, concomitantly … these dynamics? To answer this question, we embed serially correlated changes in the inflation target into a DSGE model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141812
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055201
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055631
rate both matter for determining inflation and economic activity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584354
parameter and inflation shock. Moreover, the paper discusses this covariance in the light of the microfoundations of the hybrid … normalizing and imposing independence conditions lead to distinct specifications of the covariance between inflation persistence … New Keynesian Phillips-curve, finding inflation persistence to be non-orthogonal to shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132404