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The paper demonstrates that policy makers may have a precautionary motive to undertake more labor-market reform--and hence attain lower equilibrium unemployment--inside a monetary union than outside. The reason is a desire to reduce the utility cost of variations in employment when asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203165
The paper analyzes various mechanisms through which monetary union in Europe may affect unemployment. The focus is on the political incentives for labor-market reform. There will be more reform outside than inside the EMU to the extent that a national inflation bias can be reduced. But if there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014203170
Differential requirements for seigniorage provide a weak case for retaining monetary independence. As regards adjustment to asymmetric shocks, nominal exchange rate flexibility is at best a limited blessing and at worst a limited curse. Absence of significant fiscal redistribution mechanisms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089435
economic booms in some peripheral Euro-zone countries financed by large capital inflows; the credit and asset price booms and … Latin American audiences. For those Euro-zone countries that built up large Euro-denominated external liabilities, Latin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286667
To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of … euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may have led to an upward bias in existing euro estimates to help … have different effects across country-pairs. Data on industrialized countries over 1967-2002 show the existing euro effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334328
A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade …. Existing studies examine this suspicion indirectly using non-EMU data and report ambiguous results. We estimate the euro … euro has significantly increased trade, with an effect of 4% in the first year and cumulating to around 40% in the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327839
The crisis in the Euro Zone is due to two factors: over-borrowing by some states and credit booms in others. The … architecture of the Euro remains incomplete, due to lack of enforcement of fiscal discipline and an integrated bank supervision … Euro needs once more a transition phase with a gradual fiscal and asymmetric adjustment with a decisive intervention by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117338
This research note discusses the Euro crisis in Greece in light of the referendum of July the 5th. It lays out the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016262
others used the gravity model on a much smaller data set to estimate the effects of the euro on trade among its members. The … were estimated in the euro's first four years hold up in the second four years? The answer is yes. Second, and more … explanations for the gap between 15% and 200%. First, lags. The euro is still very young. Second, size. The European countries are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147968
The impact of EMU on the transatlantic exchange rate stability raises the more general question of whether the exchange rate is a useful adjustment instrument or source of instability. We estimate a simple, three-country model for the United States, Germany and France, over the 1972-1995 period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014181129