We revisit the well-known weekend anomaly (Gibbons and Hess, 1981; Harris, 1986; Smirlock and Straks, 1986; Connolly, 1989; Giovanis, 2010) using an established macroeconometric technique known as spectral analysis (Granger, 1964; Sargent, 1987). Our findings show that using regression analysis with dichotomous...

A theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proven. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

Empirical evidence suggests that asset returns correlate more strongly in bear markets than conventional correlation estimates imply. We propose a method for determining complete tail-correlation matrices based on Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimates. We demonstrate how to obtain more efficient...

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the linkage between Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) ratings and the stock performance of the top 15 Indian companies with low-ESG-risk as well as the top 15 Indian companies with high-ESG-risk. The existing literature on whether ESG leads to...

An assumption of symmetric asset returns, together with globally risk averse utility functions, is unappealing for fund managers and other activist investors, whose preferences switch between risk aversion on the downside and risk seeking on the upside. A performance return criterion is...

Few papers provide research about options returns, and the few available are focused in the analysis from the perspective of the long side of the option contract, i.e. the buyer that pays the price and her expected and realized option return. The main point of our research work is to provide a...

A five cent $0.05 investment in Bitcoin on July 17, 2010, the first date in which there appears to have been a published value had grown to $7,383.39 on July 18, 2018. While Bitcoin as a currency has existed for less than a decade ̶ it had a very limited liquidity and usage during the first few...

Unlike passive management, where investors almost do not buy and sell securities, active management involves a set of trading rules that govern investment decisions regarding mainly market timing. In this paper, we take the basics of active management and the two fund separation approach, to...

We represent affine sub-manifolds of exponential family distributions as minimum relative entropy sub-manifolds. With such representation we derive analytical formulas for the inference from partial information on expectations and covariances of multivariate normal distributions; and we improve...

It is well known that estimation issues severely impact the performances of investment strategies. This is particularly problematic when accounting for higher moments as the number of parameters to estimate quickly explodes with the number of assets. In this paper, we address this issue by...