This paper develops a new approach for exploring the effectiveness of foreign currency intervention, focusing on real exchange cycles. Using band spectrum regression methods, it examines the role of macroeconomic fundamentals in determining the equilibrium real exchange rate at short-, medium-,...

While it is often argued that exchange rate depreciation has a beggar-thy-neighbour effect, in this paper, we investigate, whether exchange rate depreciation has a beggar-thyself effect. Specifically, we explore the distributional consequences of exchange rate movements. Using a heterogeneous...

This paper examines the dynamics of the nominal exchange rate and fiscal deficits in a continuous time optimizing general equilibrium model with finite horizon. It is shown that alternative financing modes of budget deficits imply different patterns of adjustment along the transitional path...

This paper considers a paradigm financial markets trades booking and valuation, data subscription and portfolio revaluation system. Traded instruments covered include: spot and forward exchange rates (FX); credit default swaps (CDS); total return swaps (TRS); commodity and bond futures; traded...

Option prices seem to behave in ways inconsistent with the Black-Scholes model. Implied volatility varies with the strike price in a parabolic shape that is often called the volatility 'smile.' My objective in this paper is to identify implied probability distributions that might explain this...

We analyse the relationship between geopolitical risk and exchange rates in a number of ASEAN countries, including Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines. We augment conventional nominal exchange rate models with the geopolitical risk index developed by Caldara and Iacoviello (2017),...

This study examines the effects of geopolitical risk on exchange rates in Indonesia. We augment conventional nominal exchange rate models with the geopolitical risk index developed by Caldara and Iacoviello (2017), and then estimate these augmented models using the ARDL approach to...

This paper analyzes the effects of changes in the Czech exchange rate mechanism on the volatility of the Czech spot exchange rate. While related studies draw the conclusion that exchange rate volatility decreased after the widening of the imposed fluctuation band, the results derived in the...

Adverse weather related risk is a main source of crop production loss and a big concern for agricultural insurers and reinsurers. In response, weather risk hedging may be valuable, however, due to basis risk it has been largely unsuccessful to date. This research proposes the Levy subordinated...