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This article examines the communication of European Central Bank (ECB) at press conferences and its impact on financial markets. We compare consecutive central banker conference speeches and document that the similitude of these speeches has been increasing over time. We find evidence that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021536
This paper examines whether central bank communication stabilises euro area inflation expectations through the information and news channel. A novelty of the study is its use of data from Google Analytics on ECB website traffic as proxy for visitors' attention to its communication. We conduct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511097
This paper studies central bank communication of the ECB as a potential factor that explains the contribution to systemic risk for a panel of large banks in the Eurozone between 2002 and 2018. The empirical evidence suggests that the ECB is able to use central bank communication to effectively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829038
We examine how the language used by central bank officials in public press conferences influences stock returns in the euro area. In line with the concept of Odyssean Forward Guidance, we find that using constraining language to express policy commitment increases the effectiveness of Forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829731
This paper documents that ECB announcements increase the stock market volatility in the euro area (EA) on the same day. I consider two volatility measures from January 1998 to May 2019. First, a realized volatility measure uses intraday data for 8 different stock market indices. Second, a range...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012286218
Successfully managing a course back to normality ("exit") will depend crucially on the central banks' ability to communicate effectively a credible strategy for an orderly exit from such kind of policies. In this context, clear, deliberate, coordinated messages that are anchored in the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691556
Kontext einer sich entwickelnden neuen unkonventionellen Geldpolitik. Kommunikation wird als eine geldpolitische Politikoption … zur Minimierung von Risiken beschrieben, die im Kontext des Ausstiegs aus der unkonventionellen Geldpolitik entstehen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011644116
In this paper we quantitatively analyse monetary policy statements of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) from 1998 to 2017, across the regimes of five governors. We first ask whether the content and focus of the statements have changed with the adoption of inflation-targeting as a framework for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008396
In this paper we propose a new indicator of central bank's verbal guidance, which measures communications about the future based on the frequency of future verbs in monetary policy statements. We consider the press conferences of the European Central Bank as a test case. First, we analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947321
Central bank communication has changed dramatically over the past decade, with some central banks providing guidance about or explicit forecasts of likely future policy rates. One frequently made argument against the provision by central banks of such guidance or forecasts is that it runs the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218883