This paper develops a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support a transition to an inflation forecast targeting regime in Sri Lanka. The FPAS model provides a relatively good forecast for inflation and a framework to evaluate policy trade-offs. The model...

In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...

This study aims to analyse the COVID-19 impact on remittance inflow in the selected south Asian (developing) countries. The current study applies the Automatic ARIMA forecasting by using the ARMA method up to 2021M12. The major findings demonstrate that the remittances inflow in selected...