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In this paper we present the neuro-fuzzy technology for the prediction of economic crisis of USA economy. Our findings support ANFIS models to traditional discrete choice models of Probit and Logit, indicating that the last models are not very useful for forecasting purposes. We have developed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138751
The purpose of this paper is to present a neuro-fuzzy approach of financial distress pre-warning model appropriate for risk supervisors, investors and policy makers. We examine a sample of the financial institutions and electronic companies of Taiwan Security Exchange (TSE) from 2002 through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138750
In this paper we present the neuro-fuzzy technology for the prediction of economic crisis of USA economy. Our findings support ANFIS models to traditional discrete choice models of Probit and Logit, indicating that the last models are not very useful for forecasting purposes. We have developed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008614993
of the two approaches is evaluated during the out-of sample period 2007-2010. The estimation results show that the ANFIS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172190
in-sample period 1913-2005 and we test the models in the out-of sample period 2006-2009. The estimation results indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972310
theory (cf. e.g. Mukherjee, 2017; Veltri, 2017). This article proposes so-called Dynamic Factor Trees (DFT) and Dynamic … reduce to the standard Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) as a special case and allow us to embed theory-led factor models in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012172506
Predictive modeling focuses on iteratively trying various combinations and transformations of a set of variables to generate a decision rule that predicts outcomes for new observations. Although accounting researchers have demonstrated interest in predictive modeling, we identify a lack of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089170
Following the financial crisis of 2008, the regulators established a stress testing framework known as comprehensive capital analysis and review (CCAR). The regulatory stress scenarios are macroeconomic and do not define stress values for all the relevant risk factors. In particular, only three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868018
with random effects, while the in-sample and out-sample forecasting performance is higher in random effects estimation than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137778
This study presents an extension of the Gaussian process regression model for multiple-input multiple-output forecasting. This approach allows modelling the cross-dependencies between a given set of input variables and generating a vectorial prediction. Making use of the existing correlations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011537542