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The carry trade is a zero net investment strategy that borrows in low yielding currencies and subsequently invests in high yielding currencies. It has been identified as highly profitable FX strategy delivering significantly excess returns with high Sharpe ratios. This paper shows that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992882
We built the largest dataset of high-frequency exchange rates so far. Our sample covers the spot prices and order flows of 19 currency pairs over the last 15 years measured on Reuters and EBS at the thirty-second frequency. We show that common, price-based factors describe exchange rate dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018659
Recent research has confirmed the behaviour of traders that significant excess returns can be achieved from following the predictions of the carry trade which involves buying currencies with relatively high short-term interest rates, or equivalently a high forward premium, and selling those with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019046
In this paper, we sought to establish whether Africa's volatile currencies drive equity risk premia. We use the SDF framework to estimate various conditional specifications of the International Capital Asset Pricing Model through generalized method of moments technique. Our results show strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051002
This paper examines from various angles foreign investors' daily transactions in six emerging Asian equity markets and their relationship with local market returns and exchange rate changes over the period 1999-2006. Confirming much of the literature, we find that equity market returns matter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218885
The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the debate on the relevance of non-linear predictors of high-frequency data in foreign exchange markets. To that end, we apply nearest-neighbour (NN) predictors, inspired by the literature on forecasting in non-linear dynamical systems, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120247
Electronic trading has transformed foreign exchange markets over the past decade, and the pace of innovation only accelerates. This formerly opaque market is now fairly transparent and transaction costs are only a fraction of their former level. Entirely new agents have joined the fray,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119942
This supplemental appendix extends the results in Mancini, Ranaldo, and Wrampelmeyer (2011), presenting additional analyses and robustness checks. It also describes the cleaning procedure of the EBS data, compares EBS to other datasets, and discusses the robust estimation of the price impact model
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091934
Studying major currencies versus the U.S. Dollar, this paper makes two contributions. First, we document strong comovement in both intraday and daily currency spreads. We also show that currency spreads co-move with aggregate U.S. equity market spreads. Thus, comovement in liquidity is even more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092493
In this study, we test a set of country macro sentiment indexes that measure the trailing sentiment on both scheduled and unscheduled economic and geopolitical news events. We develop a cross-over strategy in the FX market based on short to long-term news sentiment inflection points covering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081446