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An informed advisor wishes to convey her valuable information to an uninformed decision maker with identical preferences. Thus she has a current incentive to truthfully reveal her information. But if the decision maker thinks that the advisor might be biased in favor of one decision and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014134279
This paper presents a simple framework that allows us to survey and relate some different strands of the game theory literature. We describe a "canonical" way of adding incomplete information to a complete information game. This framework allows us to give a simple "complete theory"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014125494
We define a notion of correlated equilibrium for games with incomplete information in a general setting with finite players, finite actions, and finite states, which we call Bayes correlated equilibrium. The set of Bayes correlated equilibria of a fixed incomplete information game equals the set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176751
We analyze games of incomplete information and offer equilibrium predictions which are valid for all possible private information structures that the agents may have. Our characterization of these robust predictions relies on an epistemic result which establishes a relationship between the set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177259
We study stochastic games with an infinite horizon and sequential moves played by an arbitrary number of players. We assume that social memory is finite --every player, except possibly one, is finitely lived and cannot observe events that are sufficiently far back in the past. This class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014173414
We analyze games of incomplete information and offer equilibrium predictions which are valid for, and in this sense robust to, all possible private information structures that the agents may have. We completely characterize the set of Bayes correlated equilibria in a class of games with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014175012
Recent trends toward greater central bank independence and the adoption of formal inflation targeting by several countries have served to emphasise the importance of communication policy. In this paper, we explore some of the economic effects of public information that arise whenever public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061422
What are the welfare effects of enhanced dissemination of public information through the media and disclosures by market participants with high public visibility? For instance, is it always desirable to have frequent and timely publications of economic statistics by government agencies and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014127213
Each player in an infinite population interacts strategically with a finite subset of that population. Suppose each player?s binary choice in each period is a best response to the population choices of the previous period. When can behaviour that is initially played by only a finite set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014152190
In a general interdependent preference environment, we characterize when two payoff types can be distinguished by their rationalizable strategic choices without any prior knowledge of their beliefs and higher order beliefs. We show that two payoff types are strategically distinguishable if and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211595