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This study investigates the lead-lag relationship between the price movements of VIX futures and VIX index levels. As a proxy for the futures, the front month VIX futures contract is used. A Johansen cointegration approach with a vector error correction model and Granger causality analysis are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904389
market seems to play a more important role in price discovery. Volatility spillovers across the two markets are examined by … using a bivariate EGARCH(1,1) model. This model is found to capture all the volatility dynamics. The results indicate that … the transmission of volatility is bidirectional. Any piece of information that is released by the cash market has an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047165
Equity option markets exhibit intense trading activity. We use the variability of option implied volatility spread as a …. Over the 2006 – 2016 period, we find that the predictive power of option implied volatility spread for future stock returns … is significantly greater when implied volatility spread has been more variable in the past. Our results are statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836056
volatility impact of DAX futures trading. Our results confirm a volatility-reducing impact of DAX futures trading, whereas the … stability ; financial market volatility ; GARCH ; stock index futures ; derivatives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009673721
According to basic finance theory, a derivative's price is derived from the value of its underlying asset and therefore incorporates the same informational content as the fundamental. Empirically however, this prediction can often be refuted due to liquidity and trading cost aspects. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031847
terms of both price and volatility, by using 5 minute data over 2007-2010 period. The findings of this study indicate that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002128
The aim of this paper is twofold: to investigate how the information content of implied volatility varies according to … moneyness and option type and to compare option-based forecasts with historical volatility. The different information content of … implied volatility is examined for the most liquid at-the-money and out-of-the-money options: put (call) options for strikes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110064
In recent years there has been a remarkable growth of volatility options. In particular, VIX options are among the most … actively trading contracts at CBOE. These options exhibit upward sloping volatility skew and the shape of the skew is largely … independent of the volatility level. To take into account these stylized facts, this article introduces a novel two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033193
An anchoring-adjusted option pricing model is developed in which the volatility of the underlying stock return is used … as a starting point that gets adjusted upwards to form expectations about call option volatility. I show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033252
This paper investigates the intraday volatility pattern of the E-mini SP500 hourly returns. In order to account for the … observed long memory and periodicity in returns volatility we introduce the Fractionally Integrated Periodic EGARCH and the … function of power transformations of absolute returns. The results confirm that volatility of hourly returns sampled over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204671