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We study the role of the cost of inflation channel in determining the risk premium in a (nonlinear) New Keynesian DSGE … model. Relying on a Calvo (or Rotemberg) price setting, we show that while the cost of inflation channel generates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492093
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135613
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135685
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia and inflation … survey data on inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both … sufficiently developed in both monetary areas, inflation risk premia across various maturities had strikingly similar properties in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963028
dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977368
dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570647
and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
dynamics of inflation risk premia over the 1983-2013 period by allowing for time-varying market prices of inflation risk and … incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse … periods, from the inflation scare episodes of the 1980s, when perceived inflation uncertainty was high, to the more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749498
A dynamic term structure model based on an explicit structural macroeconomic framework is used to estimate inflation … risk premia in the United States and the euro area. On average over the past decade, inflation risk premia have been … fluctuations in economic growth and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014200233
This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. Ignoring this inherent connection by basing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097