Information risk is an endogenous element of the market dynamics that can be independent from contingent levels of market efficiency. Being structural, it may require to be remunerated by a specific risk premia or by returns from specific portfolio strategies. Drivers of information risk are...

In an augmented [Treynor and Mazuy, 1966] model, we find that realized volatility of emerging market financial indices generally have a negative impact on the performance of hedge funds operating in these markets. Our hypothesis is that daily trading activities related to overconfidence and...

Factorial moments are convenient tools in nuclear physics to characterize the multiplicity distributions when phase-space resolution (Delta) becomes small. For uncorrelated particle production within Delta, Gaussian statistics holds and factorial moments Fq are equal to unity for all orders q....

Two main approaches are commonly used to empirically evaluate linear factor pricing models: regression and SDF methods, with centred and uncentred versions of the latter. We show that unlike standard two-step or iterated GMM procedures, single-step estimators such as continuously updated GMM...

Regime switching models can match the tendency of financial markets to often change their behavior abruptly and the phenomenon that the new behavior of financial variables often persists for several periods after such a change. While the regimes identified by regime switching models are...

A recent literature shows how an increase in volatility reduces leverage. However, in order to explain pro-cyclical leverage it assumes that bad news increases volatility, that is, it assumes an inverse relationship between first and second moments of asset returns. This paper suggests a reason...

This paper develops a micro-founded general equilibrium model of the financial system composed of ultimate borrowers, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood of governmental bailouts on leverage, interest...

Context modifies the influence of any trading indicator. Ceteris paribus, a buyer would be more cautious buying in a selling market context than in a buying market. In order for automated, adaptive systems like neural networks to better emulate and assist human decision-making, they need to be...

The portfolio of the average investor contains important information for strategic asset allocation purposes. This portfolio shows the relative value of all assets according to the market crowd, which one could interpret as a benchmark or the optimal portfolio for the average investor. We...

This paper demonstrates a simple way of deriving both the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and a capital asset's beta value from the Capital Market Line (CML). The CML model is extended to include a series of isocorrelation curves along which the returns of any portfolio can be plotted...