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Our objective is to understand the trading strategy that would allow an investor to take advantage of quot;excessivequot; stock price volatility and quot;sentimentquot; fluctuations. We construct a general equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two classes of agents and stock prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394257
We examine the role of investors' beliefs in determining the post earnings announcement drift (PEAD). Specifically, we propose a technique to estimate the belief parameters of the informed and uninformed investors, based on which we define the uninformed investors' information acceptance ratio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064729
We find that the demand for stock option positions that increase exposure to the underlying is positively related to measures of investor sentiment and past market returns, while the demand for index options is invariant to these factors. These differences in trading patterns are reflected in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070183
The stock market is affected by sentiment. The question is, however, how to quantify this effect on asset prices. By utilizing the unique RavenPack Sentiment Index, a news-based proxy for market sentiment, this paper intends to address this issue empirically by exploring the pricing implications...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975219
We develop a High Frequency (HF) trading strategy where the HF trader uses her superior speed to process information and to post limit sell and buy orders. By introducing a multi-factor mutually-exciting process we allow for feedback effects in market buy and sell orders and the shape of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037469
I examine the difference in news sentiment between stock price run-ups that crash (bubble stocks) and do not crash (non-bubble stocks). I find that bubble stocks have more negative sentiment in earnings news during their run-ups. The negative sentiment has predictive power up to two years in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352275
This paper develops a model of heterogeneous agents on an options market. On Paris Option Market, negotiators have different beliefs about future-at the volatility of the underlying. We assume in advance two groups; fundamentalists who believe in mean reversion and Chartists that incorporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090217
We study the impact of realized equity premium and stock market volatility on aggregate gamblingexpenditures. We expect the wealth effect of higher realized returns will increase gambling (enter-tainment good), but also attract gamblers to equity markets, lowering aggregate wagers. Similarly,we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289577
Combining experimental datasets from seven individual studies, including 255 asset markets with 2,031 participants, and 36,326 short-term price forecasts, we analyze the role of heterogeneity of beliefs in the organization of trading behavior by reproducing and reconsidering earlier experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405166
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265