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We document that the variation in market liquidity is an important determinant of momentum crashes that is independent of other known explanations surfaced on this topic. This relationship is driven by the asymmetric large return sensitivity of short-leg of momentum portfolio to changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895183
We build currency portfolios based on the paradigm that exchange rates slowly converge to their equilibrium to highlight three results. First, this property can be exploited to build profitable portfolios. Second, the slow pace of convergence at short-horizons is consistent with the evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375145
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. The former is exploited by trend-following models, while the latter by contrarian models. In total, the performance of 2580 widely used models is analyzed. When...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135708
Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057742
Momentum is one of the largest and most pervasive market anomalies. However, despite a high mean and Sharpe ratio, momentum suffers from large negative skewness that comes from momentum crash periods. These crashes occur in times of both market stress and market rebound and thus variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026403
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since .the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226778
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774154
In this paper, we investigate the effect of the Reserve Bank of Australia on the $US/$A volatility in the period 1983 … various separate components. We test the existence of a long memory behaviour i.e. a finite persistence of volatility. To this … aim, we rely on a new mesure of volatility implied by the FIGARCH model that outperforms the traditionnally used GARCH one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074870
We use realized volatility to study the influence of central bank interventions on the yen/dollar exchange rate … successful interventions, both in depreciating the yen and in reducing exchange rate volatility …. Realized volatility is a technical innovation that allows specifying a system of equations for returns, realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317518
volatility at the turn of the millennium when Japanese foreign exchange intervention started to remain unsterilized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317566