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We document carry trade returns based on the moments extracted from options on the underlying currencies. We establish three important results. First, a currency pair is predicted to have greater excess returns if option-implied returns are more volatile, are more left-skewed, and have fatter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927584
The extent to which economic policy uncertainty (EPU) amplifies exchange rate volatility has been an important research … imparts an effect on exchange rate volatility either contemporaneously, or with a one month lag. The use of monthly frequency … contributes to exchange rate volatility much more quickly than monthly data can detect. I also find that non-policy market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932171
Policymakers fear the potentially destabilizing impact of fickle global investors on emerging markets. Euro area investors are significant participants in emerging bond markets and exhibit volatile flows, but their fickleness does not result in indiscriminate periods of surge and flight....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240814
dependency of the daily returns. The estimation results reflect that the long memory volatility dependency of the KRW-USD is …This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns …-parametric Local Whittle method to estimate the long memory volatility dependency of the daily returns and the temporally aggregated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568197
Using the panel data vector autoregression (PVAR) model, this study examines the correlation between the stock market, gold price and USD exchange rate in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic in 55 Asian and 32 European countries from 11 March 2021 to 29 October 2021. The results of Granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500215
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823435
In this paper, we study how the volatility of both realized and expected macroeconomic variables relates to the … variation in exchange rate volatility through the prism of the Great Moderation hypothesis. We find significant heterogeneity in … exchange rate trend volatility across currency pairs despite decreases in the volatility of expected future interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636918
scheduled economic releases on three exchange rates: EUR/$, JPY/$ and GBP/$. Using wavelets to analyze volatility behavior, we … empirically show that intraday volatility clusters increase as we approach the time of the releases, and decay exponentially after …. Finally, we propose a wavelet volatility estimator which is not only more efficient than a range estimator that is commonly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301730
traditional currency risk factors, liquidity and market volatility variables, and transaction costs. Finally, the explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901550
We investigate the relation between foreign exchange (FX) order flow and the forward bias. We outline a decomposition of the forward bias according to which a negative correlation between interest rate differentials and order flow creates a time-varying risk premium consistent with that bias....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396784