Co-integration analysis tests for the existence of a significant long-run equilibrium among some economic variables. Standard econometric procedures to test for co-integration have proven unreliable when the long-run relation among the variables is characterized by non-linearities and persistent...

This paper proposes the use of Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as a tool to select the predictors' set for bridge models. BMA is a computationally feasible method that allows us to explore the model space even in the presence of a large set of candidate predictors. We test the performance of BMA...

Cointegration analysis tests for the existence of a significant long-run equilibrium among some economic variables. Standard econometric procedures to test for cointegration have proven unreliable when the long-run relation among the variables is characterized by non-linearities and persistent...