We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...

We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...

Clean-surplus accounting implies that a firm's stock return can be decomposed into a function of the firm's return on equity, book-to-market equity ratio, and dividend-price ratio. Consequently, the variation in these ratios across firms should be indicative of cross-sectional variation in...

Measuring the value of labor-market hires for stock prices, be it underwriters when firms go public (IPOs) or chief executive officers (CEOs), is difficult due to selection. Opaque firms with higher costs of capital benefit more from prestigious underwriters, while productive firms benefit more...

This paper examines the possibility of using derivative-implied risk premia to explain stock returns. The rapid development of derivative markets has led to the possibility of trading various kinds of risks, such as credit and interest rate risk, separately from each other. This paper uses...

In the present paper an attempt has been made to estimate how political stability affects economic growth. This analysis refers to the three economic poles (EU, Japan and the United States) for the period (1998-2013). The findings of present model are in agreement with (Alberto et al., 1996; Aisen...

In this small paper author makes some comments on the relation between Income Distribution and the Government Debt as a percentage of GDP. It is estimated through a panel data model that optimum Income Distribution takes place at a critical level of Government Debt as a percentage of GDP....