Showing 61 - 70 of 866,880
We investigate both theoretically and empirically how unemployment level and its growth affect future stock returns. We find that both a higher unemployment rate and higher growth of unemployment positively predict future stock market returns. In our model, the effects come through their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352081
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001627518
A flexible approach to direct inflation targeting is a viable monetary policy choice for transition economies that is … analytical model investigating the link between the inflation process and monetary variables in transition economies is advanced … that the monetary convergence begins with inflation targeting and concludes with a full-fledged euroization. It further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519057
This paper investigates the relationship between the exchange rate regime and the degree of structural reforms using panel data techniques. We look at a broad sample of countries (the quot;world samplequot;) and also an OECD sample. Our main findings suggest that adopting a fixed exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730067
There is no consensus over the importance of "global forces" on inflation. This study explores the role of structural … breaks in the inflation process, and their timing, whether it is common across countries, and the extent to which "global … forces" are relevant. Three conclusions stand out. Global inflation impacts inflation in both AE and EME, but the impact is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269197
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem (1997)). The theoretical model motivates our empirical assessment for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
inflation environments. The results show that the macroeconomic outcome de-pends on whether the conventional or modified Taylor … rule is used, and whether the central bank is operating in a low or high inflation environment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170972
We contribute to the growing empirical literature on monetary and fiscal interactions by applying a sign restriction identification scheme to a structural TVP-VAR in order to disentangle and evaluate the policy shocks and policy transmissions. This in turn allows us to study the Great Recession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722854
"constrained discretion" to the central bank by imposing both upper and lower bounds on permissible inflation, and that these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937351
This paper purports to apply the Kydland-Prescott framework of dynamic inconsistency to the case of fiscal policy, by considering the trade-off between output and debt stabilization. The Government budget constraint provides the link between debt dynamics and the level of activity, influenced by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747747