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In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444759
Regression model for the period 1995Q1 to 2018Q2. The empirical evidence reveals the existence of two inflation regimes during … the period under review. Food inflation, energy inflation, firms’ marginal cost, and imported inflation account for most … exchange rate solely explains price changes in the composite consumers’ basket when inflation switches to high regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178169
Inflation rates rose sharply in the Philippines during 2018. Understanding the demand and supply sources of inflation … pressures is key to monetary policy response. Qualitatively, indicators have pointed to evidence of inflation pressures from …-structural model to decompose the contributions of various shocks to inflation. Our main findings are (1) supply factors (mainly global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864114
I study a class of macroeconomic models in which all firms can costlessly choose any price at each date from an interval (indexed to last period's price level) that includes a positive lower bound. I prove three results that are valid for any such half‐closed interval (regardless of how near...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806308
This paper designs, for a broad class of rational-expectations dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium models, interest-rate rules which not only ensure the local determinacy of the targeted equilibrium within the neighbourhood of the targeted steady state, but also prevent the economy from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136675
Inflation targeting involves using all available information in stabilizing inflation around some target rate (Svensson …, 2003). Inflation is typically at the very end of the transmission mechanism and hence its determination is subject to much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729228
rate to inflation can lead to debt disinflation dynamics that destabilize the financial sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898121
In our dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, capital-constrained entrepreneurs finance risky projects by borrowing from banks. Banks make loans using equity and deposits. Because financial contracts are non-state-contingent, bank balance sheets are exposed to entrepreneurial defaults....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022150
rule that reacts to inflation and the output gap, with an interest rate smoothing mechanism, minimises the welfare loss for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213959
We show that interest rate rules that feed back on the growth rates of target variables (such as output or asset prices) may induce recessions in the presence of a zero lower bound, through purely self-fulfilling dynamics. This pathology is illustrated in a small New Keynesian model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080495