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We estimate stochastic volatility leverage models for a panel of stock returns for 24 S&P 500 firms from six industries … produce significant improvement in volatility predictability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106930
This paper presents a new stochastic volatility model which allows for persistent shifts in volatility of stock market … investigate economic (or market) sources of volatility shifts, without relying on exogenous information from the sample. In … effects of large return shocks on future levels of market volatility. The above properties of the model are shown based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107993
Simulations of a model pension scheme are run with stochastic economic and demographic factors, with an aim to investigate the impact of these factors on movements in funding ratio and average contribution rates. These impacts are analyzed by running regressions of movements in funding ratio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089039
Equity index implied volatility functions are known to be excessively skewed in comparison with implied volatility at … index implied volatility from simulating the 30 dimensional return system of all DAX constituents. Option prices are …-dependence coupled with asymmetric correlation response to negative news is essential to explain the index implied volatility skew …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092464
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and … for modeling the ISE-100 return volatility. The t-distribution seems to characterize the distribution of the heavy tailed … model to the historical ISE-100 return data indicates that the return volatility reacts to bad news 24% more than they react …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
Recent contributions highlight the importance of intraday jumps in forecasting realized volatility at horizons up to … importance of considering the continuous/jump decomposition of volatility for the purpose of density forecasting. Specifically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902447
We propose a new test to measure asymmetry in volatility based on daily opening, high, low and closing prices. The test … volatility using Heston model. Our simulation study give credence to the hypothesis that Heston Model can capture the asymmetry … in volatility. We believe that this novel specification approach will add to the body of knowledge on the study of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909819
-day and intra-day volatility models by estimating the AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-skT and the AR(1)-HAR-RV-skT frameworks, respectively … intra-day volatility model is not as appropriate as it was expected to be for each of the different asset classes; stock … performance of the inter-day and intra-day volatility models across various markets. The inter-day specification predicts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910113
forecasting horizons. Therefore, a long memory volatility model compared to a short memory GARCH model does not appear to improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910119
-post portfolio realized volatility (RV) budget, determining each portfolio component's contribution to the RV of the portfolio return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976316