In this paper we present the neuro-fuzzy technology for the prediction of economic crisis of USA economy. Our findings support ANFIS models to traditional discrete choice models of Probit and Logit, indicating that the last models are not very useful for forecasting purposes. We have developed a...

The purpose of this article is the presentation of a novel and unconventional algorithm for bankruptcy risk management in banking technologies catered towards lending to legal entities (enterprises and companies). The challenges of assessing risk in this area primarily relate to the reduction of...

The prediction of financial distress has emerged as a significant concern over a prolonged period spanning more than half a century. This subject has garnered considerable attention owing to the precise outcomes derived from its predictive models. The main objective of this study is to predict...

Purpose of the article: The paper is focused on the forecast of stock markets of the Central European countries, known as V4, by means of soft computing. The tested model is constructed by a combination of fuzzy logic and artificial neural networks. A total of four SAX, PX, BUX, WIG stock...

We examine various and different approaches for the prediction of economic crisis periods of US economy. We examine the traditional econometric discrete choice Logit and Probit models then a feed-forward neural network (FFNN) model and finally we apply an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System...

In this study two approaches are applied for the prediction of the economic recession or expansion periods in USA. The first approach includes Logit and Probit models and the second is an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with Gaussian and Generalized Bell membership functions. The...

We develop a model of neural networks to study the bankruptcy of U.S. banks. We provide a new model to predict bank defaults some time before the bankruptcy occurs, taking into account the specific features of the current financial crisis. Based on data from the Federal Deposit Insurance...

Bankruptcy filings are as high today as ever, calling into question the efficacy of existing bankruptcy prediction models. This paper tries to provide an alternative for bankruptcy prediction by integrated Multi Layered Perceptron with Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (MLP-ICA) and Kohonen self...

The paper deals with the topic of modelling the probability of bankruptcy of Polish enterprises using convolutional neural networks. Convolutional networks take images as input, so it was thus necessary to apply the method of converting the observation vector to a matrix. Benchmarks for...

We explore convenient analytic properties of distributions constructed as mixtures of scaled and shifted t-distributions. A feature that makes this family particularly desirable for econometric applications is that it possesses closed-form expressions for its anti-derivatives (e.g., the...