Die vorliegende Studie wurde im Arbeitsbereich "Konjunktur und Finanzmärkte" erstellt und im Dezember 2005 abgeschlossen. Auftraggeber war das Bundesministerium der Finanzen. Gegenstand der Studie sind die Auswirkungen von Vermögenspreisschwankungen auf die gesamtwirtschaftliche Aktivität. In...

It has been widely assumed that there was a bubble in the U.S. housing market after 1999. This paper analyzes the extent to which that was true. We define a bubble as: (1) a regime shift that is characterized by a change in the properties of deviations from the fundamentals of house price...

Using data for 70 U.S. metropolitan areas, this study explores spatial heterogeneity in house price dynamics. We use recent advances in panel econometrics that allow for spatial heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependence, and non-stationary but cointegrated data. We test for spatial differences...

For many analysts, the Chinese economy is spurred by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with possible adverse effects to the real economy. For example, the stock of loans increased by more than 50 percent since the end of...