The paper puts the collapse of the world trade volume in 2009 into two historic perspectives. First, the paper analyses 18 major post-1980 / pre-2007 financial crises and uses these observations as a basis to critically evaluate presently available projections for world trade. Second, the paper...

We explore a view of the crisis as a shock to investor sentiment that led to the collapse of a bubble or pyramid scheme in financial markets. We embed this view in a standard model of the financial accelerator and explore its empirical and policy implications. In particular, we show how the...

Our study aimed to assess the degree of heterogeneity of the macroeconomic framework of the 27 EU member countries, against the background of turmoil manifested in the international financial markets. In this regard, we applied a hierarchical cluster analysis technique, for two moments of time,...

This is the first "regular" issue of PSL Quarterly Review, after the two special issues for 2008 and 2009. As an economists' phoenix, the Review is born out of the ashes of its forerunner, the BNL Quarterly Review, after a change in ownership, from Banca Nazionale del Lavoro to the Associazione...

This article provides a detailed analysis of the many factors that, over a period of several years, have contributed to the international financial crisis and highlights the global imbalances, both financial and economic, that continue to pose significant threats to the stability of the world...

There is evidence that a budget consolidation strategy can work with only a small and short lived negative impact on growth. However, this time consolidation is taking place in the aftermath of a deep crisis which had lead to increased levels of uncertainty. In addition the financial sector, as...

In recent years, substantial current account imbalances and divergences of competitiveness emerged in the euro area. These disparities endanger the cyclical recovery and impair medium-term economic growth as well as the cohesion in the monetary union. The reduction of the imbalances will dampen...

This paper investigates the dynamic implications of Krugman’s (1999) model of financial crises with balance-sheet effects, which has a considerable impact on the literature of international financial crisis. Considering explicitly the wealth-accumulation constraint and the external equilibrium...

Starting with the US subprime crisis, the world has fallen into the most severe economic crisis since the Great Depression. Unlike other major nations, China was the first to recover from the economic downturn. Researchers and policymakers have begun to wonder if China could actually bring the...

This paper tests the volatility spillovers between the Shanghai market and the main developed stock markets abroad, namely New York, Tokyo, London, and Frankfurt, as well as between the Shanghai market and the emerging stock markets, namely Hong Kong, and Korea. The tests cover the period of 11...