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It is well established that value stocks outperform glamour stocks, yet considerable debate exists about whether the return differential reflects compensation for risk or mispricing. Under mispricing explanations, prices of glamour (value) firms reflect systematically optimistic (pessimistic)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093880
We outline a framework in which accounting “valuation anchors" could be connected to expected stock returns. Under two general conditions, expected log returns is a log- linear function of a valuation (market value-to-accounting) multiple and the expected growth in the valuation anchor. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511896
We show that analyst coverage proxies contain information about expected returns. We decompose analyst coverage into abnormal and expected components using a simple characteristic-based model and show that firms with abnormally high analyst coverage subsequently outperform firms with abnormally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000282
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) recently replaced the “incurred loss” (IL) model of reporting credit losses with the “current expected credit loss” (CECL) model to improve the timeliness of credit loss information for financial statement users. CECL requires entities to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298802
The paper discusses common mistakes made by financial profession when valuating cash flows by applying inconsistent weighted average discount rates to cash flows to equity, to unlevered firm, to levered firm or other complex cash flows not regarding their type (constant or growing perpetuities,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149687
In recent studies, the analysts' consensus forecasts are widely used as a proxy for the unobservable market's consensus expectation of future earnings. As prior studies indicate, the analysts' consensus forecasts measure the true underlying construct with errors and the errors may vary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102171
Using a uniquely hand-collected dataset, we examine how financial analysts react to expectations management in the post-Regulation Fair Disclosure (FD) period. We find evidence that management issues pessimistic public guidance to lower analysts' expectations to a beatable level in the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052338
This study investigates security analysts' reactions to public management guidance and assesses whether managers successfully guide analysts toward beatable earnings targets. We use a panel dataset between 1995 and 2001 to examine the fiscal-quarter-specific determinants of management guidance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058280
We establish a link between firms managing investors' performance expectations, earnings announcement premia, and cyclical patterns (i.e., seasonalities) in returns. Firms that are more likely to manage expectations toward beatable levels predictably earn lower returns before, and higher returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902681
Prior studies use fundamental earnings forecasts to proxy for the market's expectations of earnings because analyst forecasts are biased and are available for only a subset of firms. We find that as a proxy for market expectations, fundamental forecasts contain systematic measurement errors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904816