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This paper looks at the evolution of U.S. stock prices from the time of the Presidential elections to the end of 2017. It concludes that a bit more than half of the increase in the aggregate U.S. stock prices from the presidential election to the end of 2017 can be attributed to higher actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917436
This paper aims to examine the relation between idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) and stock returns with full-sample and conditional alpha sub-samples in Vietnam stock market covering the period from January 2008 to December 2018. We test the IVOL effect on stock returns employing Fama-Macbeth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219258
In this paper we consider the question of how to improve the efficacy of strategies designed to capture factor premiums in equity markets and, in particular, from the value, quality, low risk and momentum factors. We consider a number of portfolio construction approaches designed to capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966327
The stocks of firms with poor accounting information quality (AIQ) comove least, as gauged by the correlation between returns on two stocks. Only undiversifiable risk is rewarded with a premium and the undiversifiable risk of a diversified stock portfolio increases with correlations between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404952
We examine the short-duration premium using pre-scheduled economic, monetary policy, and earnings announcements. We provide high-frequency evidence that duration premia associated with revisions of economic growth and interest rate expectations are consistent with asset pricing models but cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405417
We show that the S&P 500’s instantaneous response to surprises in U.S. macroeconomic announcements depends on the level of long-term stock market volatility. When long-term volatility is high, stock returns are more sensitive to news, and there is a pronounced asymmetry in the response to good...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440865
Using a very large data set with more than 9,700 stocks listed on NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ, we analyze overnight price jumps and report short-term investor overreaction to information shocks and document return reversal and predictability up to five days. For negative and positive overnight jumps,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254878
estimation equation for future expected one-period returns based on current and past implied rates of return that is superior to … simple estimators based on historical returns. The reason for this superiority is a lower variance of estimation results and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487229
This paper studies whether sentiment is rewarded with a significant risk premium on the European stock markets. We examine several sentiment proxies and identify the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) from the EU Commission as the most relevant sentiment proxy for our sample. The analysis is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491776
In this paper, I analyze the role of credit risk in explaining cross-sectional stock returns. I utilize Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads to construct a credit risk factor-mimicking portfolio, which I label as Distressed-minus-Stable (DMS). As CDS contracts are written mainly on large firms, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125552