A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with prespecified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from...

To evaluate the aggregate risk in a financial or insurance portfolio, a risk analyst has to calculate the distribution function of a sum of random variables. As the individual risk factors are often positively dependent, the classical convolution technique will not be sufficient. On the other...

Conic pricing (or bid and ask pricing) of credit risk shows how counterparty credit risk when conservatively valued at the bid price results in larger CVA than would occur under risk neutral pricing. On the other hand when it comes to the debt valuation adjustment, since it is a liability, it...

We examine recovery rates of the European banking sector. To this end, we employ information embedded in credit default swaps (CDS) with different levels of seniority. To estimate implied recovery rates, we extend the model of Schlafer and Uhrig-Homburg (2014) and include absolute priority...

The relationship between the risk-neutral measure Q and the actual or real-world measure P, and the corresponding credit risk premium, are investigated in this paper. Quantifying and understanding the long-term average risk premium is important for a variety of financial applications and...

In this paper, we investigate the price performance of outstanding CoCos after a new CoCo issue is announced by the same issuer. Contingent Convertible bonds or CoCo bonds are new hybrid capital instruments that have a loss absorbing capacity which is enforced either automatically via the...

Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance (CPPI) is a structured product created on the basis of a trading strategy. The idea of the strategy is to have an exposure to the upside potential of a risky asset while providing a capital guarantee against downside risk with the additional feature that...

In this work we introduce the notion of implied Core Equity Tier 1 volatility and the concept of a risk-adjusted distance to trigger. Using a derivatives-based valuation approach, we are able to derive the implied CET1 volatility from the market price of a CoCo bond in a Black-Scholes setting....

In this paper we employ a one-factor Lévy model to determine basket option prices. More precisely, basket option prices are determined by replacing the distribution of the real basket with an appropriate approximation. For the approximate basket we determine the underlying characteristic...

Contingent Convertibles ("CoCos") are contingent capital instruments which convert into shares, or have a principal write down, if a trigger event takes place. CoCos exhibit the undesirable so-called "death-spiral effect": by actively hedging the equity risk, investors can (unintentionally)...