In this paper, we introduce a new robust model for modelling and pricing LCDX tranches. We extend the generic one-factor model of [1], which was developed for modelling and pricing of a synthetic CDO of CDSs, to a model for tranched portfolio of loan-only CDSs (LCDSs). The essential difference...

We employ a Levy process subject only to negative jumps to describe the motion of asset values. This specification permits fast computation of first passage probabilities. As a result we are able to calibrate all CDS curves for the 125 ITRAXX underliers weekly and develop a time series for the...

In this paper, we propose a multivariate financial model for nancial assets which incorporates jumps, skewness, kurtosis and stochastic volatility, and discuss its applications in the context of equity and credit risk. In the former case we describe the stochastic behavior of a series of stocks...

In the sixties Mandelbrot already showed that extreme price swings are more likely than some of us think or incorporate in our models. A modern toolbox for analyzing such rare events can be found in the field of extreme value theory. At the core of extreme value theory lies the modelling of...

In a recent paper, Salminen and Yor (2004b) relate the distribution of the Dufresne's reflected perpetuity to the hitting time of a reflected Bessel process. In this contribution, we adapt the results of Salminen and Yor (2004b) in several ways. First, we use spectral theory to obtain a series...

Market efficiency is measured by arbitrage proximity. The magnitude of probability distortion necessary to remove drift calibrates the efficiency. Simulations of bilateral gamma models estimated on a year's past returns yield empirical acceptability indices for each day for each asset. The...

Prudent upper and lower valuations from the literature on arbitrage free two price economies provide risk characteristics driving required returns. The risk characteristics assess the risk of price fluctuations. The difference between the upper and lower prudent valuations can be viewed as a...

Lower and upper prudent valuations in two price economies obtained on sufficiently distorting physical probabilities for returns to horizons matching option maturities straddle the market prices of options. Market prices are then modeled as geometric averages of the extremal valuations. Upper...

This article provides an in-depth analysis of pricing and structuring of contingent convertibles (CoCos). These debt instruments convert into the equity of the issuing bank or suffer a write-down of the face value upon the appearance of a trigger event. This trigger mechanism provides an...

In this paper, we investigate the behavior of the bitcoin (BTC) price through the vanilla options available on the market. We calibrate a series of Markov models on the option surface. In particular, we consider the Black-Scholes model, Laplace model, five Variance Gamma related models and the...