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We describe a model that takes into account the tail dependence present in a large set of historical risk factor data using the modern concept of copulas. We extend the popular t-copula to obtain a new grouped t-copula which describes more accurately the dependence among risk factors of...
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A traditional VaR approach is not suitable to assess the risk that merger arbitrage funds carry in their portfolios. We propose a simple two-state or three-state model that captures the risk characteristics of the deals in which merger arbitrage funds invest.This model has been tested on a set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148123
We present a model that captures risks of hedge funds only using their historical performance as input. This statistical model is a multivariate distribution where the marginals derive from an AR(1)/AGARCH(1,1) process with t_5 innovations, and the dependency is a grouped-t copula. The process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148124
A traditional VaR approach is not suitable to assess the risk of merger arbitrage hedge funds. We recently proposed a simple two- or three-state model that captures the risk characteristics of the deals in which merger arbitrage funds invest. Here, we refine the model, and demonstrate that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148125
Finally, Stéphane Daul and Elena Gutíerrez Vidal present a set of case studies on insurance liability replication. Under modern valuation conventions, insurance firms increasingly use market-consistent techniques to value both their assets and liabilities. Consequently, the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150745
We analyze the performance of investable portfolios built using predicted stock returns from machine learning methods and attribute their performance to linear, marginal non-linear and interaction effects. We use a large set of features including price-based, fundamental-based, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433684