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of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight … of the volatility forecasts drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893144
.Taking the model seriously allows traders to treat the volatility parameter in the model as an asset and trade it by buying or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864889
We analyze the relationship between economic uncertainty and commodity market volatility. We find that commodity market … volatility comoves strongly with economic and financial uncertainty, especially during recessions. Variables associated with … commodity market volatility. The documented predictability is mainly observed in the period after the financialization of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866910
Behavioral theories contend that the human decision-making process tends to both incorporate anchor points and improperly weight low probability events. In this study, we find evidence that equity option market investors anchor to prices and incorporate a probability weighting function similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972165
straddles; second, we estimate the PVR in a Heston (1993) stochastic-volatility model. In both cases, the estimation is … more negative and its term structure is steeper when volatility is high. These findings are inconsistent with calibrations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018005
We propose a general framework for pricing and hedging derivatives in cross-dependent volatility (CDV) models, i ….e., multi-asset models in which the volatility of each asset is a function of not only its current or past levels, but also … particular the longstanding smiles calibration problem for the 'cross-aware' multidimensional local volatility model. CDV models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021534
volatility indices. The models include linear, quadratic and nonlinear drift specifications with affine, constant elasticity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023052
Using the model-independent approaches of Trolle and Schwartz (2008) and Kozhan et al (2013), we estimate the Variance Risk Premium and Skew Risk Premium for oil market. After estimation, the contribution of the paper is twofold. First, we try to figure out which variables can describe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920696
depending on the cumulative short-term rate makes them particularly informativeabout interest rate volatility risk. Based on a … joint dataset of bonds and Asian interest rate options, we study the inter-relations between bond and volatility risk … benchmark index (EMBI-Global), and a negative volatility risk premium, consistent with the use of Asian options as insurance in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924537
In this study, we derive a CDS implied equity volatility index from highly liquid one-year contracts in the Eurozone …, and for the inclusive period 2008-2014. We analyze the relationship between this volatility index and the VSTOXX 12M … relationship between the two volatility indices in which the CDS implied index plays the leading role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932044