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We apply the directed acyclic graph and spillover index models and find significant evidence of both implied volatility … contagion and spillover. First, the global implied volatility smiles exhibit strong regional clustering. The European and … them, the European index options markets demonstrate the strongest implied volatility smile contagion. Second, there exists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234005
This paper investigates whether dynamic volatility spillovers across shipping freight markets can be explained by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248216
Financial markets face occasional shocks, which may come from geopolitical, economic, financial or other sources. In this paper, we consider the reaction of financial markets to the onset of severe conditions in the aftermath of Feb. 15, 2020. In particular, we analyze the primary and derivative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251908
The article describes a global and arbitrage-free parametrization of the eSSVI surfaces introduced by Hendriks and Martini in 2019. A robust calibration of such surfaces has already been proposed by the quantitative research team at Zeliade in 2019, but it is sequential in expiries and lacks of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292792
We introduce a new approach to measuring the possible impact of futures speculation on spot commodity prices. We advocate the use of a non-parametric, highly flexible empirical model for measuring this impact, in order to account for possible non-linearity in the transmission from futures to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036025
I test for the presence of asymmetric volatility in the Brent and Light crude oil futures markets. My investigation is … based on a variant of the heterogeneous autoregressive volatility model, using daily realized variance and return series … from 2004 through 2009. I find that a decline in oil futures leads to significantly higher volatility in Brent and Light …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144285
For fixed maturity, under the no-arbitrage assumption, futures prices should follow a martingale with respect to the trading time, at least under the pricing measure. Therefore, a prominent display of trading time seasonality under the physical measure raises warning signs and can only occur by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245244
By computing a volatility index (CVX) from cryptocurrency option prices, we analyze the market's expectation of future … volatility. Our method addresses the challenging liquidity environment of this young asset class and allows us to extract stable … volatility benchmarks for traditional asset classes, such as VIX (equity) or GVX (gold), confirms that cryptocurrency volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829636
This paper examines the existence of dynamic volatility spillovers within and between the dry-bulk and tanker freight … markets by employing the multivariate DCC-GARCH model and the volatility spillover index developed by Diebold & Yilmaz (2009 … disaggregation of volatility spillovers in total, directional, net and net pair- wise. Results reveal the existence of large time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995247
This paper examines the behavior of crude oil futures price volatility and investigates how the EIA weekly crude oil … inventory reports announcements, especially information shocks, impact crude oil price movement and volatility. This study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998738