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This paper presents an empirical analysis investigating the relationship between the futures trading activities of speculators and hedgers and the potential movements of major spot exchange rates. A set of trader position measures are employed as regression predictors, including the level and...
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, Canada, Japan, Korea and Switzerland in terms of the US dollar. The empirical results indicate that there is a positive … relationship between currency futures trading activity and spot volatility. Moreover, in the case of four out of the total of five … currencies discussed in this paper, futures trading activity adds significantly to spot volatility. …
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