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I test for the presence of asymmetric volatility in the Swiss Franc cross-rate futures markets. My investigation is … based on a variant of the heterogeneous autoregressive volatility model, using daily realized variance and return series … from 2004 through 2009. I find that a decline in futures returns, while apparently leading to lower volatility asymmetry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144279
exchange rate volatility. Results show that an increase of the number of cases and the deaths (both in logs) in the US has a … daily volatility of three exchange rates series with respect to American dollar. These results are useful for anyone needing … forecasts of exchange rate futures volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832852
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009350036
Using data on Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, Russia and Turkey, our empirical results show that the exchange rates of their currencies have adequate explanatory power in explaining their US dollar-denominated sovereign bonds, particularly in the post-crisis period. We develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966847
I test for the presence of asymmetric volatility in British Pound cross-rate futures markets. My investigation is based … on a variant of the heterogeneous autoregressive volatility model, using daily realized variance and return series from … 2004 through 2009. I find that appreciation against the British Pound leads to significantly less volatility for the CHF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195733
An exchange rate model with crash risk is developed with the exchange rate confined in a wide moving band. A currency crash occurs when its exchange rate breaches a boundary. Using an asymmetric mean-reverting fundamental shock to incorporate intervention policy in the model, the log-normalised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076790
model to explore the impact of COVID-19 cases on the volatility of the USD exchange rates against the local currencies of … investigation reveals a positive and significant effect of COVID-19 cases on the volatility of the USD exchange rate against BDT …, INR, and PKR. Additionally, this paper forecasts the daily volatility of the USD exchange rate concerning all three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242578
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949496
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119324
Using exchange rates futures instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot return and the premium. The correlation decreases with increasing maturity, presumably due to a latent risk premium. We hypothesize that the influence of the unobserved risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918977