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model to explore the impact of COVID-19 cases on the volatility of the USD exchange rates against the local currencies of … investigation reveals a positive and significant effect of COVID-19 cases on the volatility of the USD exchange rate against BDT …, INR, and PKR. Additionally, this paper forecasts the daily volatility of the USD exchange rate concerning all three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242578
I test for the presence of asymmetric volatility in British Pound cross-rate futures markets. My investigation is based … on a variant of the heterogeneous autoregressive volatility model, using daily realized variance and return series from … 2004 through 2009. I find that appreciation against the British Pound leads to significantly less volatility for the CHF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195733
We construct multi-currency models with stochastic volatility and correlated stochastic interest rates with a full … interest rate by a stochastic volatility displaced-diffusion Libor Market Model [AA02], which can model an interest rate smile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069789
and volatility spillovers between spot and futures prices of four major international currencies traded on two trading … sample currencies. The volatility spillover results indicate the presence of short and long-run volatility spillovers between … futures and spot markets. Volatility spillovers are stronger from futures to spot in the short-run while inverse is the case …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056400
An exchange rate model with crash risk is developed with the exchange rate confined in a wide moving band. A currency crash occurs when its exchange rate breaches a boundary. Using an asymmetric mean-reverting fundamental shock to incorporate intervention policy in the model, the log-normalised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076790
Interest rate volatility, as implied by swaptions prices, rose in all major economic areas between 2001 and early 2004 … structure has flattened. The rise and fall of US dollar implied volatility reflected changes both in expectations of realized … volatility and in the compensation for volatility risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092678
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009670832
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949496
This paper studies informed trading about U.S. payrolls in the foreign exchange (FX) futures market. I find that speculators such as hedge funds are more likely to be sellers than buyers of FX futures ahead of good U.S. payroll news and thus appear to have earned significant gains around payroll...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311499
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141467