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We provide empirical evidence that CAPM-betas positively predict asset returns when market returns are predicted to be high, which occurs about every other month. Consequently, the product of beta and the predicted market return (CAPM) predicts asset returns by combining the out-of-sample...
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frequency information into one model. We consider subsample averaging, bootstrap averaging, forecast averaging methods for the … the averaging methods (subsample averaging, bootstrap averaging, forecast averaging), which serve as different ways of …
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and forecasting. Building on the theory of continuous-time arbitrage-free price processes and the theory of quadratic … volatility forecast, coupled with a parametric lognormal-normal mixture distribution implied by the theoretically and empirically …
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