Basis behavior can have a direct affect on hedging and pricing decisions. Here, ex ante basis risk for selected live hog cash markets is analyzed from 1985 through 1994. One and five month ahead econometric, time series, and naive forecasts are used to construct measures of basis risk based on...

The futures-implied petroleum cracking spread is examined for overreaction and subsequent mean reversion via a mechanical trading rule: when the implied margin is greater (less) than estimated refining costs a short (long) spread position is entered. The trading rule results in statistically...

Theoretical noise trader models suggest that uninformed traders can impact market prices. However, these models' conclusions depend crucially on the assumed specification for noise trader demand. This research seeks to empirically determine the appropriate demand specification for uninformed...

Utilizing an input-output approach, this paper reports the local economic impacts from the expansion of an ethanol plant in Missouri. With the expansion ofthe U.S. ethanol industry in the form of both new and expandingplants both types of growth should be taken into account. This research...