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, with pricing errors of similar magnitude as the risk premiums they were designed to explain. We trace the errors to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850718
-scheduled macroeconomic announcements. The first risk arises from the uncertain content of the news itself and is directional in nature, while … the second risk is associated with the "heightened uncertainty'' in anticipation of a pre-scheduled announcement, relating … in particular to its potential market impact. Theoretically, we show that it is the resolution of this second risk prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850794
Sentiment should exhibit its strongest effects on asset prices at times when valuations are most subjective. Consistent with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
exposure to systematic mispricing can bias tests of risk-return tradeoffs. Controlling for systematic mispricing, we recover … robust positive risk-return relations for many cross-sectional risk proxies, including low-risk and distress anomalies. We … arising from empirical failures of standard pricing models, and show empirical risk-return relations supporting rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388392
We estimate conditional multifactor models over a large cross-section of stock returns matching 25 CAPM anomalies. Using conditioning information associated with different instruments improves the performance of the Hou, Xue, and Zhang (2015, HXZ) and Fama and French (2015, 2016, FF) models. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937406
decline in the initial phase of the pandemic. While corporate default risk rises, we find little evidence that debt … risk in the face of disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837368
issuers, we provide evidence to support a statistically significant negative downgrade risk premium in excess returns …, suggesting that stocks at higher risk of failure tend to deliver lower returns. The performance of the model remains robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832284
We build a structural credit risk model for a risky sovereign having both domestic and foreign debt outstanding. The … country is subject to default risk, has a soft currency, and can be viewed as a small open emerging market economy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938246
addition to the credit risk of the sovereign it reflects a whole set of extra risk factors such as inflation, exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938247
We investigate the relationship of the market pricing of sovereign risk to default, through CDS spreads for 16 Eurozone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976894