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(GARCH-M) methodology to investigate the effect of interest rate and its volatility on the bank stock return generation … modeling bank stock returns. The model presented here allows for shifts in the volatility equation in response to the changes … in monetary policy regime in 1979 and 1982 to be estimated. ARCH, GARCH, and volatility feed back effects are found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006325
This study examines the sensitivity of the Thai stock market to nominal and real interest rate, and exchange rate risks during January 2004 and December 2015 using quantile regression. The analysis focuses on sectoral level and one main index in the stock market. The empirical results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989457
with time-varying loading coefficients and stochastic volatility, which allows for capturing changes in the pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637545
This paper examines the changes induced by the actual financial crisis in the dynamic relation between the currency rates and the differentials of the interest rates from Romania and euro area. In the framework of the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity hypothesis we apply the Vector Autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099872
I analyze the Granger causality in distribution between sovereign bonds and industry indexes in the five European countries most affected by the debt crisis: Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain. Prior research assessed the impact of the debt crisis on the financial firms, but its effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352250
Eurozone since 2000 until August 2012, when Outright Monetary Transactions program was announced. Results show that there is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051261
This paper develops a two-block Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) to estimate the spillover of external shocks to the Maltese economy. The model focuses on five broad macroeconomic shocks hitting the euro area; an aggregate demand shock, two aggregate supply shocks which respectively proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818649
This paper investigates the relationship between public and private wages in the five largest euro area countries for the period 1997-2017. The analysis shows that there exists a positive and significant response of private wages to a public wage shock. This effect is found to be temporary and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975478
This paper uses an estimated open economy DSGE model to examine if constant interest forecasts one and two years ahead can be regarded as modest policy interventions during the period 1993Q4-2002Q4. An intervention is here defined to be modest if it does not trigger the agents to revise their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583556
This paper uses a time-varying vector autoregressive (VAR) model for the euro area to explore the changes in the interest rate pass-through to bank retail rates following conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks. The median estimate of the impulse responses shows a considerably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014559289