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In this paper, we propose a novel approach on how to estimate systemic risk and identify its key determinants. For all … affected if the tail risk of the financial sector increases. We find that key accounting and market valuation metrics such as … risk profile of a financial institution. In contrast to earlier studies, the employed panel vector autoregression (PVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226884
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821608
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472524
We investigate whether there are predictable patterns in the dynamics of higher order risk-neutral moments extracted … find that higher risk-neutral moments can be statistically forecasted. However, only the one-day-ahead skewness forecasts … implications for the dynamics of implied volatility surfaces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115379
We investigate whether there are predictable patterns in the dynamics of higher order risk-neutral moments extracted … find that higher risk-neutral moments can be statistically forecasted. However, only the one-day-ahead skewness forecasts … implications for the dynamics of implied volatility surfaces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109407
average absolute difference between historical and implied volatility increases with stock illiquidity. This pattern … translates into significant excess returns of option trading strategies that are not explained by common risk factors. Simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539242
considerable effect on option prices. We show that the value of the stock option increases with the volatility of the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119881
We argue that default option is important for equity valuation and construct a model that explicitly prices the option to default or abandon the firm. An investment strategy that buys stocks that are classified as undervalued by our model and shorts overvalued stocks generates an annual 4-factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015350
There is a close link between prices of equity options and the probability of default of a firm. We show that in the presence of positive expected equity recovery, the standard methods that assume zero equity recovery at default misestimate the probability of default implicit in option prices....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903784
The Securities and Exchange Commission's 2008 emergency order introduced a shorting ban of some 800 financials traded in the US. This paper provides an empirical analysis of the options market around the ban period. Using transaction level data from OPRA (The Options Price Reporting Authority),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906074