Modern Portfolio Theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis are cornerstone concepts in both academic and professional curricula. In spite of their long history and reputation, the CAPM and its extensions do not yield satisfactory empirical results. We argue...

We study the portfolio performance of investment strategies that jointly apply both fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Compared with strategies that rely on one-dimensional fundamental or technical information, the integrated approach to fundamental and technical investing...

We introduce a new measure of stock misevaluation, 𝑄, which is consistent with the Gordon growth model for firm valuation. In our empirical application, we use 𝑄 to relate analyst forecasts to stock returns and measure the profitability of investment strategies that rely on information in...

We test the effect of sentiment on returns using a sample of upstream oil stocks where we have a good proxy for fundamental value. For this sample, the influence of sentiment is highly time-varying, appearing only after the post-2000 increased interest in oil-related assets. Contrary to the...

We study time-series momentum (trend-following) strategies in bonds, commodities, currencies and equity indices between 1960 and 2015. We find that momentum strategies performed consistently both before and after 1985, periods which were marked by strong bear and bull markets in bonds...

We examine whether underwriters have an information advantage over other institutional investors in new public companies. We focus our attention on a sample of publicly traded firms that have become the target of an IPO-related securities class action lawsuit filed under Section 11 of the 1933...

Using a novel database, we show that the stock-price impact of analyst trade ideas is at least as large as the impact of stock recommendation, target price, and earnings forecast changes, and that investors following trade ideas can earn significant abnormal returns. Trade ideas triggered by...

The literature on gold is dominated by empirical studies on its diversification, hedging, and safe haven properties. In contrast, the question “When to invest in gold?” is generally not analyzed in much detail. We test more than 4,000 seasonal, technical, and fundamental timing strategies...

I present evidence that a moving average (MA) trading strategy has a greater average return and skewness as well as a lower variance compared to buying and holding the underlying asset using monthly returns of value-weighted US decile portfolios sorted by market size, book-to-market, and...

We investigate whether spurious pairs created by multiple hypothesis testing can be minimized when firm characteristics are used to identify pairs. The results show that the portfolios of pairs that have higher similarities in firm characteristics outperform those that are fundamentally less...