Is secular stagnation—a period of persistently lower growth such as that seen following the financial crisis of 2008-09—a valid concern for euro-area countries? We tackle this question using the well-established Laubach-Williams model to estimate the unobservable equilibrium real interest...

We propose an alternative way of estimating Taylor reaction functions if the zero-lowerbound on nominal interest rates is binding. This approach relies on tackling the real rather than the nominal interest rate. So if the nominal rate is (close to) zero central banks can influence the infl ation...

We propose an alternative way of estimating Taylor reaction functions if the zero-lowerbound on nominal interest rates is binding. This approach relies on tackling the real rather than the nominal interest rate. So if the nominal rate is (close to) zero central banks can influence the inflation...

We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...

Über die ELA-Kredite der EZB ist wenig bekannt. Dabei ist das Ausmaß dieser Hilfen für die breite Öffentlichkeit von großem Interesse. Der Autor trägt die spärlichen Informationen über die ELA-Nutzung in den einzelnen Eurostaaten zusammen und leitet hieraus Verbesserungsvorschläge ab....

This article introduces a new indicator to measure redenomination risks in Euro area countries. The measure is based on survey data. The influence of this indicator in determining sovereign bond yield spreads is tested using an ARDL-approach. The results for ten EMU countries in the period June...

Die Europäische Zentralbank hat im Juni 2014 ihren Einlagezinssatz erstmals in den negativen Bereich gesenkt. Seitdem ist er in mehreren Stufen bis auf heute −0,5 % gesunken. Banken haben dadurch zunehmend Probleme, ihre Einlagen ohne großes Risiko und nominalen Wertverlust anzulegen. Der...

Do central banks in Eastern European countries react asymmetrically and in a non-linear fashion to changes in inflation and output? We tackle this question by expanding the standard Taylor reaction function for the four inflation targeting countries Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Romania....

The equilibrium real interest rate is one of the most discussed variables in economics, although it is unobservable. While it has been estimated with respect to various developed countries, this paper is the first to estimate it for five developing countries - the BRICS countries. To do so the...