Men, Zhongxian; Kolkiewicz, Adam W.; Wirjanto, Tony S. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 12 (2019) 2/88, pp. 1-21
self-excited. A novel Markov-Chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC) is developed for parameter estimation of the model. For model … the proposed TSCD model and MCMC method work well in terms of parameter estimation and duration forecasting. Lastly, the …