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This paper presents estimates of the demand for money function and the Phillips curve using quarterly data for the Mexican economy over the period 1980--1999. These estimates are used to test restrictions on the dynamic process of the errors and cross-equation parameter restrictions suggested by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009202665
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In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures traded at the Mexican Derivatives Exchange (MEXDER). To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008737147
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015063124
We examine two approaches characterized by different tail features to extract market expectations on the Mexican peso-US dollar exchange rate. Expectations are gauged by risk-neutral densities. The methods used to estimate these densities are the Volatility Function Technique (VFT) and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322542
To advance our understanding of the mechanisms through which monetary policy affect the economy, in this note we analyze the volatilities of the Mexican short-term interest rate and of the peso-dollar exchange rate under two monetary policy instruments: a non-borrowed reserves requirement target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322573
This paper provides empirical evidence that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that are conditional on current information are statistically superior to individual models, unconditional combinations, and hybrid forecasts. Superior forecasting performance is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322599
In this research paper ARCH-type models are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of an inflation-index futures portfolio for several time-horizons. The empirical analysis is carried out for Mexican inflation-indexed futures traded at the Mexican Derivatives Exchange (MEXDER). To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322620
In this research paper ARCH-type models and option implied volatilities (IV) are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a stock index futures portfolio for several time horizons. The relevance of the asymmetries in the estimated volatility estimation is considered. The empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616403
The objective of this paper is to analyze what are the main determinants of the exchange rate risk premium (ERP). The empirical case is conducted for the daily Mexican peso-USD exchange rate for a sample period from 2007 until 2015. According to the results the ERP is influenced by several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788935