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of the largest listed oil companies in the world, we derive an Index of Scaled Physical Inventories (ISPI). We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984469
of the largest listed oil companies in the world, we derive an Index of Scaled Physical Inventories (ISPI). We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986170
We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089438
We present comprehensive evidence in support of giving liquidity equal standing to size, value/growth, and momentum as investment styles, as defined by Sharpe (1992). First, we show that financial market liquidity, as identified by stock turnover, is an economically significant indicator of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093548
We propose a heuristic switching model of an asset market where the agents' choice of heuristic is consistent with their individual risk aversion. They choose between a fundamentalist and a trend-following rule to form expectations about the price of a risky asset. Given their risk aversion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844420
A decision maker constructs a convex set of nonnegative martingales to use as likelihood ratios that represent alternatives that are statistically close to a decision maker's baseline model. The set is twisted to include some specific models of interest. Max-min expected utility over that set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895157
We present a robust model of speculative bubbles by introducing loss-averse reference-dependent preferences by Koszegi and Rabin (2006) into the framework of Allen, Morris and Postlewaite (1993), where in equilibrium, asymmetrically-informed rational investors buy overvalued assets, hoping to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970133
information theory, we use theorems of relative entropy optimisation to build a framework which allows data-specific calibration … theory and implements a framework to calibrate disappointment risk premia to market prices. Based on a recent new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856901
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is theoretically incomplete in its demand-side focus, risk-averse investors, and internally inconsistent homogeneous beliefs; is not conclusively supported empirically; and yet it legitimizes a notion that investors can earn higher returns by bearing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857018
finance nor to traditional economical theories? Inspired by rational choice theory, this paper tries to explore this largely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021105