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curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has substantial forecasting power for future bond excess returns, high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547050
curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has substantial forecasting power for future bond excess returns, high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584702
This paper analyzes the joint dynamic processes of macroeconomic and monetary variables and bond yields in China. We … changes in macroeconomic and monetary variables. These results differ from an earlier study on bond yields by Ang and Piazzesi … policy is conducted in China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158647
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425011
Since the beginning of 2022, monetary policy in the euro area has been gradually normalizing. As a result, bond yields …, such as Germany, a development referred to as bond market fragmentation. To ensure the coherent effectiveness of monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013410756
Riksbank and the European Central Bank (ECB) on bond risk premia in the Swedish government bond market. Using a novel arbitrage …-free dynamic term structure model of nominal and real bond prices that accounts for bondspecific safety premia, we find that … Sveriges Riksbank's bond purchases raised inflation and short-rate expectations, lowered nominal and real term premia and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517711
This paper empirically models the dynamics of Brazilian government bond (BGB) yields based on monthly macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222455
bond yields. It shows that the low short-term interest rate, induced by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) accommodative monetary …. These findings are relevant to ongoing policy debates in Japan and other advanced countries about government bond yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844127
development of bond yields and spreads around these releases. More precisely, we try to estimate different asset price channels by … signalling channel, measured by the OIS rate, and the portfolio rebalancing channel, proxied by the conditional bond-OIS spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011743065