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This paper presents a joint analysis of the term structure of credit default swap (CDS) spreads and the implied volatility surface. The rapid development of the CDS market has provided convenient products to extract credit risk, and its interaction with equity volatility has been analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254192
Catastrophe (CAT) bond markets are incomplete and hence carry uncertainty in instrument pricing. As such various pricing approaches have been proposed, but none treat the uncertainty in catastrophe occurrences and interest rates in a sufficiently flexible and statistically reliable way within a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296936
We investigate the problem of calibrating an exponential Lévy model based on market prices of vanilla options. We show that this inverse problem is in general severely ill-posed and we derive exact minimax rates of convergence. The estimation procedure we propose is based on the explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003329637
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We present a new generic method for constructing correlation parameterizations that are always positive definite, and derive new flexible parametric forms.Furthermore, we use the CMS spread option pricing formula from Kiesel & Lutz to calibrate a stochastic volatility LMM to caplets, swaptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142588
The fair value of an option is given by breakeven volatility, the value of implied volatility that sets the profit and loss of a delta-hedged option to zero. We calculate breakeven volatility for 400,000 options traded on the S&P 500 Index, and we build a predictive model for these volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324361
The aim of this paper is to obtain the risk-neutral density of an underlying asset price as a function of its option implied volatility smile. We derive a known closed form non-parametric expression for the density and decompose it into a sum of lognormal and adjustment terms. By analyzing this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093979
In this paper we introduce an additive two-factor model for electricity futures prices based on Normal Inverse Gaussian Lévy processes, that fulfills a no-overlapping-arbitrage (NOA) condition. We compute European option prices by Fourier transform methods, introduce a specific calibration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107920
A Lévy process is observed at time points of distance delta until time T. We construct an estimator of the Lévy-Khinchine characteristics of the process and derive optimal rates of convergence simultaneously in T and delta. Thereby, we encompass the usual low- and high-frequency assumptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270819
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