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, and future realized stock return volatility. The relation implies a profitable option trading strategy of purchasing high … benefit most from increasing stock volatility. Our evidence strongly supports theories of noise trader risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973998
multiple volatility factors. We first propose nonparametric estimates of marginal pricing kernels, conditional on the VIX and …. In particular, conditioning on volatility factors, the pricing kernel of market returns exhibit a downward sloping shape … up to the extreme end of the right tail. Moreover, the volatility pricing kernel features a striking U-shape, implying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975425
To properly value a basket option, one should construct a joint probability density correctly repricing all asset smiles and correlation smiles. At first sight, the task seems formidable. However, by reformulating the problem, we can develop a model that is simple and fast, admitting analytic or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297391
factors such as jump and volatility risks, short-sale constraints, and stock lottery characteristics. It is also inconsistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403606
We are the first to study the pricing and hedging of VIX options via Monte Carlo (MC) under GARCH(1,1) and Glosten–Jagannathan–Runkle GARCH(1,1) models. Our pricing is ab initio and out‐of‐sample and can be implemented in real time. Importantly, we propose the so‐called single‐option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404075
The stock options implied volatility skew reflects both the structural risk characteristics of the underlying company … default risk. The model can explain as much as 44\% of the cross-sectional variation in implied volatility skew and is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404293
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months' time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
volatility models. Our method is based on a novel application of the exponential measure change in Palmowski & Rolski (2002 … stochastic volatility models with non-zero correlations, namely the Heston (1993), 3/2, and a special case of the α …-Hypergeometric stochastic volatility models recently proposed by Da Fonseca & Martini (2016). Then, we combine our method with a stochastic time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941953
In this paper, we consider how to generate simulation paths for underlying asset price and volatility that reproduce … the volatility smiles of plain vanilla, one touch and VIX options. Unlike general volatility models, we propose a method … using a Markov functional model that uses the realized volatility of the underlying asset price as the driver of VIX …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351249
actively traded VIX options. Under the model, the evolution of future VIX is completely determined by the volatility function … of forward VIX squared normalized by VIX futures prices. A general volatility function with one- to three-factor models … general volatility function that incorporates mean-reversion and hump effects to test two multifactor models, (iii) finding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148021