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We estimate the fiscal (spending) multiplier using quarterly U.S. data, 1986-2017. We define government spending shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294110
by 5%, and even by 20% for liquidity-constrained households. The long-run present value multiplier of the package amounts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310308
Advanced economies face two important trends: population aging and rising debt. In the coming years it will be critical to understand how policies undertaken by governments interact with their changing age structures. In a panel of advanced economies, I show that fiscal deficit consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311084
We study the effects of fiscal policy on macroeconomic developments in Italy over the period 1982-2010 with a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model. We include public debt and impose the government budget constraint in the estimation. In contrast with previous research we also include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110280
The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between government spending and private consumption in the UK, for which there is scarce previous empirical evidence. We disaggregate public expenditure into three categories and search for the corresponding private consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011737944
multiplier ranges from -0.83 to -0.27 for taxes, and from 0.02 to 0.98 for government spending respectively. Overall, these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011670351
We re-examin the notion of identifying macroeconomic effects using the narrative approach taking as an application the estimation of tax multipliers. We point out to a test for the checking the adequacy of regressing the narrative measure directly on the outcome variable. This test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484325
The Structural Vector Auto-regression (SVAR) approach to estimating fiscal multipliers, following the seminal paper by Blanchard and Perotti (2002), has been widely applied in the literature. In our pa-per we discuss the interpretation of these estimates and suggest that they are more useful for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764859
) than weak. For instance, the long run multiplier can be as large as unity when fiscal position is strong, while it can be … cycle on the fiscal multiplier. Third, the state-dependent effects of the fiscal position on multipliers is attributable to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489390
This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated with lower growth than expected, with the relation being particularly strong,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085993