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This paper presents techniques for modelling and estimating the behavior of financial market price or return differentials that follow non-linear regime-switching behaviour. The methodology to be used here is estimation of variants of threshold autoregression (TAR) models. In the basic model the...
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). Not only does this collapse give rise to large deviations from CIP, it has unlocked a stream of exploitable arbitrage … performance - as potential drivers of deviations from CIP. Employing data on G10 cross-currency basis swap spreads viz a viz the U … economic performance drive the basis wider, and hence arbitrage profits higher for U.S. dollar investors, in the post crisis …
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