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-based disinflation around the world over the past half-century, with global consumer price inflation down from a peak of roughly 17 …This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures … (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584053
From 2013 up to the launch of the ECB’s strategy review in January 2020, inflation in the euro area was low and over …-predicted. This low inflation during the years 2013-19 can be attributed to a combination of interconnected factors. Cyclical … developments account for a substantial share of the fall in underlying inflation, mainly in the first part of the low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210844
soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to …Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … developments, the risk of stagflation—a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth—has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082577
soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to …Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … developments, the risk of stagflation—a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth—has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256426
We investigate an impact of oil-price shocks on GDP and exchange rate dynamics in resource-heterogeneous economies. We employ a Markov regime-switching version of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to allow for regime shifts, non-linear effects and timevarying parameters of the VAR process....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369064
Many commentators have argued that if the Federal Reserve had followed a stricter monetary policy earlier this decade when the housing bubble was forming, and if Congress had not deregulated banking but had imposed tighter financial standards, the housing boom and bust - and the subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155688
This paper examines the impact of different types of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy, using a factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) approach. The results indicate that when examining the effects of oil price shocks, it is important to account for the interaction between the oil market and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081472
A number of studies document the prominent role of global factors in domestic inflation developments (e.g. Borio and … Filardo, 2007; Ciccarelli and Mojon, 2010). In this paper we investigate global dimensions of advanced economy inflation. We … inflation expectations and augment Phillips curves with global factors including global economic slack, global inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605993
Oil price showed sharp fluctuations in recent years which revived the interest in its effect on inflation. In this … paper, we discuss the relationship between oil price and inflation in Spain, at national and regional levels, and making the … distinction between energy and non-energy inflation. To this end, we fit econometric models to measure the effect of oil price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496140
stability. Using local projections, this paper investigates the effects of commodity price shocks on inflation. We estimate … countries. Our analyses show that the effects of commodity price shocks on inflation are transitory. While the effect on the … transition autoregessive models that use the past inflation rate as the transition variable, we also explore the possibility that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099534